Independent Predictor Of Overall Survival Research Articles

Predictive potential of preoperative Naples prognostic score-based nomogram model for the prognosis in surgical resected thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients: A retrospective cohort study.

The present study aimed to establish an effective prognostic nomogram model based on the Naples prognostic score (NPS) for resectable thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). A total of 277 patients with ESCC, who underwent standard curative esophagectomy and designated as study cohort, were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into different groups, including NPS 0, NPS 1, NPS 2, and NPS 3 or 4 groups, for further analysis, and the results were validated in an external cohort of 122 ESCC patients, who underwent surgery at another cancer center. In our multivariate analysis of the study cohort showed that the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage, systemic inflammation score, and NPS were the independent prognostic factors for the overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) durations. In addition, the differential grade was also an independent prognostic factor for the OS in the patients with ESCC after surgery (all P < .05). The area under the curve of receiver operator characteristics for the PFS and OS prediction with systemic inflammation score and NPS were 0.735 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.676-0.795, P < .001) and 0.835 (95% CI 0.786-0.884, P < .001), and 0.734 (95% CI 0.675-0.793, P < .001) and 0.851 (95% CI 0.805-0.896, P < .001), respectively. The above independent predictors for OS or PFS were all selected in the nomogram model. The concordance indices (C-indices) of the nomogram models for predicting OS and PFS were 0.718 (95% CI 0.681-0.755) and 0.669 (95% CI 0.633-0.705), respectively, which were higher than that of the 7th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system [C-index 0.598 (95% CI 0.558-0.638) for OS and 0.586 (95% CI 0.546-0.626) for PFS]. The calibration curves for predicting the 5-year OS or PFS showed a good agreement between the prediction by nomogram and actual observation. In the external validation cohort, the nomogram discrimination for OS was better than that of the 7th edition of TNM staging systems [C-index: 0.697 (95% CI 0.639-0.755) vs 0.644 (95% CI 0.589-0.699)]. The calibration curves showed good consistency in predicting the 5-year survival between the actual observation and nomogram predictions. The decision curve also showed a higher potential of the clinical application of predicting the 5-years OS of the proposed nomogram model as compared to that of the 7th edition of TNM staging systems. The preoperative NPS-based nomogram model had a certain potential role for predicting the prognosis of ESCC patients.

Abstract PO2-02-09: Pathological complete response to neoadjuvant systemic therapy and its predictive factors among early breast cancer subtypes: the emerging role of HER2

Abstract Purpose Pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) for breast cancer (BC) is a prognostic factor for relapse-free and overall survival (OS). Despite recent therapeutic developments for early BC, there are still a significant proportion of patients who do not achieve pCR. In this study we established pCR rates in routine care and investigated possible predictive factors of pCR, including HER2 status. Methods We evaluated 980 stage I-III BC patients receiving NACT between 2013 and 2022. Patient characteristics, rates of pCR (ypT0-is ypN0), toxicities, treatment modifications and survival outcomes were recorded. Standard histopathological variables were recorded [with HER2-low status, defined as HER2 1+ on immunohistochemistry (IHC) or 2+ on IHC without in situ hybridization (ISH) gene amplification]. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were calculated. Median follow-up time was 60.3 months (interquartile range 19.7-78.7). Results The mean age of the study population was 49.6 ± 11.2 years. 64% had stage II disease, 70.5% had grade 3 disease, and 90.5% had ductal histopathology. 34.6% had estrogen receptor (ER)-positive/HER2-negative, 27.1% had triple-negative (TN), and 38.3% had HER2-positive BC. 233 patients (23.8%) had HER2-low disease. pCR rate was 35.8% in the overall population, 16.8% in ER-positive/HER2 negative BC, 32.7% in TNBC and 55.2% in HER2-positive BC. pCR rate differed according to grade, histology, HER2 status, radiological and clinical response of disease (p &amp;lt; 0.001) and early discontinuation of NACT (p = 0.001), but not according to age, menopausal status, BRCA status, platinum use, NACT dose reduction or delays, neutrophils-to-lymphocytes, platelets-to-lymphocytes, or lymphocytes-to-monocytes ratios. OS and RFS were better following pCR [HR 0.23 (95% CI, 0.14-0.38, p &amp;lt; 0.001) and HR 0.27 (95% CI, 0.18-0.40, p &amp;lt; 0.001), respectively]. Among HER2-negative BC patients (605, 61.7% of the entire cohort), there was a trend to lower pCR rate in HER2-low compared to HER2-negative (IHC 0) BC (19.7% vs 26.3% respectively, p = 0.06). pCR rate was significantly lower in ER-positive/HER2-low compared to ER-positive/HER2-negative (IHC 0) BC (12.1% vs 20.9% respectively, p = 0.031), while no difference in pCR rates was observed in TNBC patients by HER2 status. Despite a lower rate of pCR, Kaplan-Meyer curve showed that OS was significantly better in the HER2-low BC compared to HER2-negative (IHC 0) population at 100-months follow up. Multivariable Cox-regression model in the HER2-negative BC cohort demonstrated that HER2-low status was an independent predictor of OS (HR 0.59, 95% CI, 0.39-0.89 p = 0.012). Conclusions In our real-world analysis, pCR rates are consistent with the published data. Many patients still have residual disease following NACT, predicting worse outcomes, and may benefit from further adjuvant systemic therapies. Consistent with other studies, our findings suggest a possible prognostic and predictive role of HER2-low status especially among patients with ER-positive BC. This could lay the foundations for novel therapies targeting HER2 among HER2-low cancer subtypes. Citation Format: Matilde Corianò, Nicolo M.L. Battisti, Hala Aziz, Nalinie Joharatnam Hogan, Antonino Musolino, Alistair Ring. Pathological complete response to neoadjuvant systemic therapy and its predictive factors among early breast cancer subtypes: the emerging role of HER2 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-02-09.

Abstract PO1-11-11: A Novel Body Composition Risk Score (B-Score) and Overall Survival among Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer

Abstract Background: Measurements (amount, distribution, and radiodensity) of muscle and adipose tissue were reported to be individually associated with overall survival in breast cancer survivors, but they were not typically combined to develop an overall risk score. Such a score can identify patients at high risk of death and prioritize patients in need of lifestyle interventions. Objectives: We developed a novel body composition risk score (B-Score) by combining multiple tissue measurements. Methods: We included 3105 patients with stage II or III breast cancer (diagnosed from 2000 to 2013) at Kaiser Permanente Northern California and Dana Farber Cancer Institute. From CT scans at diagnosis, we used the third lumber vertebrae as the landmark to assess areas (cm2) and radiodensity (HU) of muscle and adipose tissue. We divided the area by height2 (m2) to derive the index and measured the average HU of the tissue area as the radiodensity, which acts as a marker of tissue 'quality' to be indicative of lipid content, inflammation, and angiogenesis. Out of all tissue measurements, we considered skeletal muscle index (SMI), subcutaneous adipose tissue index (SATI) and SAT radiodensity as they were independent predictors for overall survival. Each measurement was dichotomized using optimal stratification, with low SMI (&amp;lt; 40.1cm2/m2), high SATI (≥75.7cm2/m2), and high SAT radiodensity (≥ -97.2HU) considered risk factors. We calculated B-Score as the sum of these factors and estimated its association with overall survival using Cox proportional hazards regression with adjustment for clinicopathologic factors. Results: Mean (standard deviation) age at diagnosis was 53.9 (11.8) years, 2161 (70.1%) were Non-Hispanic White, 1880 (60.5%) were stage II, and 919 (29.6%) died over a median follow-up of 10.7 years. Most patients (60.6%) had only one body composition risk factor (B-Score = 1). Compared to those with no body composition risk factors (B-Score = 0), the risk of death increased with more body composition risk factors: the adjusted hazard ratios were 1.10 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.42), 1.47 (95% CI: 1.12, 1.92), and 2.11 (95% CI: 1.26, 3.53) for B-Scores of 1, 2, and 3, respectively (Ptrend &amp;lt; 0.001). Conclusions: More unfavorable body composition characteristics were associated with increased risks of overall mortality in a dose-response manner. Considering body composition measurements together as a composite score (B-Score) may prove a useful tool to identify patients at high risk of death following breast cancer diagnosis. Table. Adjusted Associations of the Body Composition Risk Score (B-Score) with Overall Mortality Among Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio. a Areas (cm2) and radiodensity (HU) of skeletal muscle and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) were extracted from the single axial CT slice at the third lumbar vertebra. The body composition risk score was defined as the sum of three risk factors: low skeletal muscle index (SMI; &amp;lt;40.1cm2/m2), high SAT index (SATI; ≥75.7cm2/m2), and high SAT radiodensity (≥ -97.2HU). b Adjusted for age (years), race and ethnicity (Asian, Black, Hispanic, Non-Hispanic White, and Others), stage (II, III), ER (ER+, ER-), PR (PR+, PR-), HER2 (HER2+, HER2-, unknown), smoking (current, former, never), Charlson comorbidity index (0, 1-2, ≥3), and BMI (&amp;lt;18.5, 28.5-24.9, 25-29.9, and ≥30 kg/m2). For the trend test, B-Score was considered as a continuous variable with adjustment for the above covariates. Citation Format: En Cheng, Bette Caan, Wendy Chen, Carla Prado, Elizabeth Cespedes Feliciano. A Novel Body Composition Risk Score (B-Score) and Overall Survival among Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO1-11-11.

Deep Learning Features and Metabolic Tumor Volume Based on PET/CT to Construct Risk Stratification in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

Objectiveto build a risk stratification by incorporating PET/CT-based deep learning features and whole-body metabolic tumor volume (MTVwb), which was to make predictions about overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for those with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) as a complement to the TNM staging. Materials and MethodsThe study enrolled 590 patients with NSCLC (413 for training and 177 for testing). Features were extracted by employing a convolutional neural network. The combined risk stratification (CRS) was constructed by the selected features and MTVwb, which were contrasted and integrated with TNM staging. In the testing set, the above was verified. ResultsMultivariate analysis revealed that CRS was an independent predictor of OS and PFS. C-indexes of the CRS demonstrated statistically significant increases in comparison to TNM staging, excepting predicting OS in the testing set (for OS, C-index = 0.71 vs. 0.691 in the training set and 0.73 vs. 0.736 in the testing set; for PFS, C-index = 0.702 vs. 0.686 in the training set and 0.732 vs. 0.71 in the testing set). The nomogram that combined CRS with TNM staging demonstrated the most superior model performance in the training and testing sets (C-index = 0.741 and 0.771). ConclusionThe addition of CRS improves TNM staging's predictive power and shows potential as a useful tool to support physicians in making treatment decisions.

Outcomes with allogeneic stem cell transplant using cryopreserved versus fresh hematopoietic progenitor cell products

BackgroundAllogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (alloHSCT) is a mainstay of treatment for hematologic malignancies such as acute leukemias and aggressive lymphomas. Historically, fresh Hematopoietic Progenitor Cell (HPC) products have been preferred to cryopreserved products (cryo-HPC) due to concerns of loss of stem cell viability and number with the cryopreservation procedure. ObjectiveWe aimed to analyze the outcomes of patients who received cryo-HPCs during the COVID-19 pandemic and compare this against historical cohorts that received fresh HPC. Study DesignA retrospective chart review was conducted on all adult patients who received a peripheral blood alloHSCT in British Columbia, Canada between June 2017 and November 2021. Baseline characteristics, Kaplan-Meier (KM) Overall Survival (OS), engraftment, and incidences of acute and chronic graft versus host disease were compared between patients who received cryo-HPCs and fresh HPCs. Univariable analysis followed by multivariable analysis was performed using a backward stepwise selection procedure to generate predictors of OS, cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR), non-relapse mortality (NRM), and primary and secondary graft failure. Results383 patients were included in the analysis, with cryo-HPC representing 40%. Median viability was higher in the fresh-HPC group at 99.2% (IQR 98.3-99.5) versus cryo-HPCs at 97.0% (96.0, 98.6) (p<0.01). The 12-month actuarial survivals were 77% in the fresh HPC and 75% in the cryo-HPC groups (p=0.21). There were no differences between cryo-HPCs and fresh HPCs on univariable analysis of OS, CIR, or NRM. There was a shorter median time to platelet engraftment in patients receiving fresh HPC at 17 days (IQR 16, 20) versus cryo-HPC at 21 days (IQR 18, 29), p<0.001. There was a shorter median time to neutrophil engraftment in the fresh HPC group at 17 days (IQR 14, 20) versus 20 days (17, 23), p<0.001. Cryo-HPC accounted for 5 out of 6 cases of primary graft failure (p=0.04), and 3 out of five cases of secondary graft failure (p=0.39). There were no significant differences in acute GVHD between the fresh HPC and cryo-HPC groups (p=0.34). The incidence of moderate or severe chronic GVHD was 32% in the fresh-HPC group and 17% in the cryo-HPC group (p<0.001).In multivariable analysis, cryopreservation did not emerge as an independent predictor of OS, CIR, NRM, primary GF or secondary GF. However, viability <90% on arrival at our center was a significant predictor of OS (HR 5.3, 2.3-12.3, p<0.01), primary graft failure (OR 36.3, 5.4-210.2, p<0.01), and secondary graft failure (OR 18.4, 1.7-121.1, p<0.01). ConclusionPatients who received cryo-HPCs had similar OS and relapse rates to those who received fresh-HPCs but typically took 2-3 days longer to achieve engraftment of platelets or neutrophils and were associated increased primary graft failure. However, after accounting for multiple variables, cryopreservation was no longer a significant predictor of survival or engraftment while viability <90% emerged as an important predictor of OS, primary graft failure, and secondary graft failure. If confirmed, this suggests that viability on arrival at the infusion center may be a good quality control indicator used to identify HPC products that may warrant recollection if the risk of graft failure is sufficiently increased.

Prognostic value of preoperative combined neutrophil, monocyte, and lymphocyte scores in patients with renal cell carcinoma undergoing laparoscopic nephrectomy: A retrospective study.

In a multi-institutional clinical study, we assessed the prognostic significance of a novel indicator preoperative peripheral blood immune (PBIS) scores that combined ratios of preoperative lymphocyte, monocyte, and neutrophil of renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients undergoing laparoscopic nephrectomy. Between January 2014 and December 2019, 438 patients with RCC were retrospectively analyzed in three centers. We used X-tile software to obtain the optimum cut-off values for neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes to classify the patients. To assess the relationship between PBIS score and overall survival (OS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with RCC by Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses. In addition, predictive OS and CSS nomograms were constructed. The discriminative ability of nomogram and predictive performance accuracy were verified with consistency index (C-index), calibration curves, receiver operating curve (ROC) curves, decision curve analysis (DCA) curves, and time-dependent ROC curves. The optimum cutoff values for monocytes, lymphocytes, and neutrophils were 0.46, 1.01, and 4.50, respectively. We divided patients into four subgroups according to PBIS scores, which were significantly associated with M-stage (p = 0.008), T-stage (p < 0.001), N-stage (p = 0.006), and AJCC stage (p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that RCC patients with lower PBIS scores showed a worse postoperative prognosis and served as an independent predictor of OS (p = 0.002) and CSS (p < 0.001). Ultimately, the nomograms based on PBIS scores demonstrated excellent predictive performance for OS (C-index: 0.770) and CSS (C-index: 0.828) through the analysis of calibration curves, ROC curves, DCA curves, and time-dependent ROC curves. PBIS score served as novel and effective predictor to accurately predict OS and CSS in patients with RCC receiving laparoscopic nephrectomy.

Impact of Surgical Margin Status on Survival and Recurrence After Pancreaticoduodenectomy for Distal Cholangiocarcinoma: Is Microscopic Residual Tumor (R1) Associated with Higher Rates of Local Recurrence?

Patients undergoing macroscopically curative resection for distal cholangiocarcinoma (DCC) have high recurrence rates and poor prognoses. This study aimed to investigate the impact of surgical margin status on survival and recurrence after resection of DCC, specifically focusing on microscopic residual tumor (R1) and its relationship to local recurrence. This was a retrospective analysis of patients who had undergone pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for DCC between 2005 and 2021. Surgical margin was classified as R0, R1cis (positive bile duct margin with carcinoma in situ), and R1inv (positive bile duct margin with an invasive subepithelial component and/or positive radial margin). In total, 29 of 133 patients (21.8%) had R1cis and 23 (17.3%) R1inv. The 5-year overall survival (OS) for R0 (55.7%) did not differ significantly from that for R1cis/R1inv (47.4%/33.6%, respectively). The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) for R0 was significantly longer than that for R1inv (50.1% vs. 17.4%, p = 0.003), whereas RFS did not differ significantly between those with R0 and R1cis. R1cis/R1inv status was not an independent predictor of OS and RFS in multivariate analysis. Cumulative incidence of isolated distant recurrence was significantly higher for R1cis/R1inv than for R0 (p = 0.0343/p = 0.0226, respectively), whereas surgical margin status was not significantly associated with rates of local or local plus distant recurrence. Surgical margin status does not significantly impact OS and RFS in patients undergoing PD for DCC following precise preoperative imaging evaluation. Additionally, R1 status is significantly linked to higher isolated distant recurrence rather than local recurrence, highlighting the importance of multidisciplinary therapy.

Tumor Location Is an Independent Prognostic Factor in Completely Resected Pathological Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

Previous studies suggested that the location of the primary tumor in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is associated with clinical features and prognosis, but results are conflicting. The purpose of this study was to explore tumor location as an independent risk factor of survival for patients with completely resected pathological stage I NSCLC. This was a multicenter retrospective study conducted in Taiwan. Included patients were diagnosed with stage I NSCLC and had undergone primary tumor resection. Variables including tumor location, pathological stage, histological differentiation, and International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) grade were evaluated for predictive ability for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). A total of 208 patients were included, with 123 (59.1%) patients having a primary tumor in the upper and middle lobes. The median duration of follow-up for survivors was 60.5 months. Compared to patients with IASLC Grade 3 disease, patients with Grade 1 disease had significantly longer DFS. Tumor location and IASLC grade were independent predictors for OS in multivariate analysis. Specifically, patients with NSCLC in the lower lobe and patients who are histologically classified as IASLC Grade 3 may have poorer prognosis and require greater attention to improve outcomes.

Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer With Hydronephrosis Exhibits a High Frequency of Mutations in Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptor 3 Gene.

Recent studies have reported conflicting findings regarding the significance of hydronephrosis (HN) in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). The molecular characteristics of MIBC with HN are unclear, therefore, we aimed to address the gaps in previous research and elucidate HN's molecular significance in patients with MIBC. Clinical, genetic, and imaging information on bladder cancer patients enrolled in The Cancer Genome Atlas were obtained from public databases to analyze the association between the presence of hydronephrosis and genetic alterations and molecular subtyping. A total of 108 patients who underwent total cystectomy for MIBC at the Hiroshima University Hospital were enrolled in the study to verify the association between HN and renal function with patient prognosis. We observed a statistically significant difference in the distribution of molecular subtypes (p=0.0146). The proportion of patients with the luminal papillary subtype was approximately twice as high in patients with HN (48.8%) than in those without HN (25.0%). The mutation frequency of fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) 3 was approximately three-fold higher in patients with HN (20.9%) than in those without HN (7.1%). Multivariate analysis, which considered HN and estimated glomerular filtration rate as confounding factors in our MIBC cohort, revealed that reduced renal function, but not HN, was an independent predictor for overall survival. MIBC presenting HN exhibits a high frequency of mutations in the FGFR3 gene. In addition, not HN itself, but reduced renal function due to HN may worsen the prognosis for MIBC.

Effectiveness of prognostic nutritional index in predicting overall survival and evaluating immunotherapy response in anaplastic thyroid carcinoma.

The prognostic value of nutritional status in anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) remains unclear. The Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) is a reliable indicator of overall nutritional and immune status, and it has emerged as a significant prognostic factor in various malignancies. This study aimed to explore the utility of PNI in ATC. We systematically reviewed ATC patients in our institute from January 2000 to June 2023 and categorized them into high and low PNI groups based on the median PNI value. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression were employed to assess the impact of PNI on overall survival, while ROC curve analysis evaluated the predictive value of PNI. Mimics software was used for three-dimensional reconstruction of pre- and post-immunotherapy tumor volumes, enabling the assessment of treatment response. A total of 77 ATC patients were included in this study. Low baseline PNI was associated with significantly shorter overall survival (1-year survival rate: 5.26% vs 30.77%; median survival time: 5.30 months vs 8.87 months). The 1-year, 2-year, and 3-year AUC values for PNI were 0.82, 0.79, and 0.77, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, both PNI and tumor size emerged as independent prognostic factors for patient overall survival. Among ATC patients receiving 2-3 cycles of immunotherapy, an increase in post-treatment PNI levels was positively correlated with a reduction in tumor volume. PNI is an independent predictor of overall survival and holds the potential to serve as a valuable indicator for assessing and predicting immunotherapy efficacy in ATC patients.

Prognostic factors of adrenocortical carcinoma in children and adolescents: a population-based study.

Adrenocortical carcinoma (ACC) is an uncommon adrenal gland endocrine tumor that has a poor prognosis in children. We aimed toconducta population-based cohort study to predict overall survival (OS) in pediatric patients with ACC. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to conduct a retrospective cohort research on pediatric patients diagnosed with ACC between 1975 and 2018.We examined demographic characteristics, tumor stage and size, treatment options, and survival results. Kaplane-Meier estimations were used to generate survival curves based on several parameters. To compare survival curves, the log-rank test was applied.Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to determine the variables related with OS. In addition, we created a nomogram to predict overall survival in pediatric ACC patients. A total of 143 pediatric ACC patients were identified. Females were the most impacted (60.8%). Overall 1year, 3year, and 5year survival rates were 75.0%, 57.6%, and 53.7% for all patients, respectively. In comparison to older patients (5-19years), younger patients (≤ 4years) were shown to have more positive characteristics, including a higher likelihood of local disease (29.4% vs. 14%, P < 0.001), tumors less than 10cm (23.1% vs. 14.7%, P < 0.001), and improved overall survival (5year OS 89.6% vs. 27.7%, P < 0.001). Age at diagnosis, SEER stage, and surgery were significant independent predictors of OS in this model, according to the results of Cox proportional hazard regression. After that, we developed a nomogram for predicting OS in children with ACC. Patients older than 4years old had a higher chance of dying. Furthermore, the higher the SEER stage, the higher the risk of death. Patients who do not have surgery have a worse survival rate than those who do. Our study revealed that age at diagnosis, SEER stage, and surgery were found to be the most important predictors of the overall survival of pediatric ACC. These findings contribute to the existing body of knowledge and emphasize the importance of continued research to advance our understanding of pediatric ACC and improve patient care.

Prognostic impact of osteosarcopenia in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

We investigated the prognostic impact of osteosarcopenia, defined as the combination of osteopenia and sarcopenia, in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The relationship of osteosarcopenia with disease-free survival and overall survival was analyzed in 183 patients who underwent elective pancreatic resection for PDAC. Computed tomography was used to measure the pixel density in the midvertebral core of the 11th thoracic vertebra for evaluation of osteopenia and in the psoas muscle area of the 3rd lumbar vertebra for evaluation of sarcopenia. Osteosarcopenia was defined as the simultaneous presence of both osteopenia and sarcopenia. The study employed a retrospective design to examine the relationship between osteosarcopenia and survival outcomes. Osteosarcopenia was identified in 61 (33%) patients. In the univariate analysis, disease-free survival was significantly worse in patients with male sex (p = 0.031), pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.001), NLR, ≥ 2.71 (p = 0.041), sarcopenia (p = 0.027), osteopenia (p = 0.001), and osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001), and overall survival was significantly worse in patients with male sex (p = 0.001), pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.001), distal pancreatectomy (p = 0.025), sarcopenia (p = 0.003), osteopenia (p < 0.001), and osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of disease-free survival were osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001) and pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.002), and the independent predictors of overall survival were osteosarcopenia (p < 0.001), male sex (p = 0.006) and pathological stage ≥ III PDAC (p = 0.001). Osteosarcopenia has an adverse prognostic impact on long-term outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatic resection for PDAC.

The ratio of skeletal muscle mass to body mass index combined with inflammatory immune markers to stratify survival of pancreatic cancer after pancreatoduodenectomy

BackgroundWe sought to combine skeletal muscle index and inflammatory immune markers to stratify long-term survival in patients with pancreatic cancer after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). MethodsA total of 581 patients with pancreatic cancer underwent PD were included, and divided into the training and validation cohort. Image analysis of computed tomography scans was used to calculate the ratio of skeletal muscle (SM) area to body mass index (BMI). Naples prognostic score (NPS) was calculated from blood-test inflammatory immune markers. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to minimize biases of clinicopathological characteristics. To estimate the overall survival (OS), a nomogram was developed using the training cohort. The predictive accuracy of nomogram was estimated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. ResultsAfter PSM analysis, SM/BMI ratio, NPS, lymph node metastasis, TNM stage, surgical margin, tumor grade and adjuvant therapy were independent predictors of OS, which were all assembled into nomogram. The SM/BMI ratio was the best single-predictor for 3- and 5-year OS, with an AUC of 0.805 (95% CI: 0.755–0.855) and 0.812 (95% CI: 0.736–0.888), respectively. Harrell's c-index of the nomogram in the training cohort was 0.786 (95% CI: 0.770–0.802), and the area under ROC curve of 1-year, 3- and 5-year OS prediction were 0.869 (95%CI: 0.837–0.901), 0.846 (95%CI: 0.810–0.882) and 0.849 (95%CI: 0.801–0.896). ConclusionsThe nomogram based on SM/BMI ratio and NPS had excellent predictive performance, which should be incorporated to conventional risk scores to stratify survival of patients with PDAC after PD.

Progressive sarcopenia and myosteatosis predict prognosis of advanced HCC patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Immunotherapy stands as a pivotal modality in the therapeutic landscape for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, yet responses vary among patients. This study delves into the potential impact of sarcopenia, myosteatosis and adiposity indicators, as well as their changes during immunotherapy, on treatment response and prognosis in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. In this retrospective analysis, 116 patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors were recruited. Skeletal muscle, intramuscular, subcutaneous, and visceral adipose tissue were assessed by computed tomography at the level of the third lumbar vertebrae before and after 3 months of treatment. Sarcopenia and myosteatosis were evaluated by skeletal muscle index and mean muscle density using predefined threshold values. Patients were stratified based on specific baseline values or median values, along with alterations observed during the treatment course. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared using the log-rank test and a multifactorial Cox proportional risk model. A total of 116 patients were recruited and divided into two cohorts, 81 patients for the training set and 35 patients for the validating set. In the overall cohort, progressive sarcopenia (P=0.021) and progressive myosteatosis (P=0.001) were associated with objective response rates, whereas progressive myosteatosis (P<0.001) was associated with disease control rates. In the training set, baseline sarcopenia, myosteatosis, and subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue were not significantly associated with PFS and OS. In multivariate analysis adjusting for sex, age, and other factors, progressive sarcopenia(P=0.002) and myosteatosis (P=0.018) remained independent predictors of PFS. Progressive sarcopenia (P=0.005), performance status (P=0.006) and visceral adipose tissue index (P=0.001) were all independent predictors of OS. The predictive models developed in the training set also had good feasibility in the validating set. Progressive sarcopenia and myosteatosis are predictors of poor clinical outcomes in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors, and high baseline visceral adiposity is associated with a poorer survival.

Prognostic value of pre-treatment [18F] FDG PET/CT in recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma without distant metastasis

Background[18 F]-Fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) has the ability to detect local and/or regional recurrence as well as distant metastasis. We aimed to evaluate the prognosis value of PET/CT in locoregional recurrent nasopharyngeal (lrNPC).MethodsA total of 451 eligible patients diagnosed with recurrent I-IVA (rI-IVA) NPC between April 2009 and December 2015 were retrospectively included in this study. The differences in overall survival (OS) of lrNPC patients with and without PET/CT were compared in the I-II, III-IVA, r0-II, and rIII-IVA cohorts, which were grouped by initial staging and recurrent staging (according to MRI).ResultsIn the III-IVA and rIII-IVA NPC patients, with PET/CT exhibited significantly higher OS rates in the univariate analysis (P = 0.045; P = 0.009; respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that with PET/CT was an independent predictor of OS in the rIII-IVA cohort (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.476; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.267 to 0.847; P = 0.012). In the rIII-IVA NPC, patients receiving PET/CT sacns before salvage surgery had a better prognosis compared with MRI alone (P = 0.036). The recurrent stage (based on PET/CT) was an independent predictor of OS. (r0-II versus [vs]. rIII-IVA; HR = 0.376; 95% CI: 0.150 to 0.938; P = 0.036).ConclusionThe present study showed that with PET/CT could improve overall survival for rIII-IVA NPC patients. PET/CT appears to be an effective method for assessing rTNM staging.

Prognostic Indicators of Overall Survival in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Liver Resection.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer and the third contributor to malignancy-related deaths worldwide. The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), transient elastography-liver stiffness measurement (TE-LSM), and the association between TBS (tumor burden score), alpha-fetoprotein levels, and the Child-Pugh classification (TAC score) can serve as valuable prognostic indicators for these patients. Therefore, the main objective of our research was to analyze the prognostic value of the HVPG, TE-LSM, TBS, and TAC scores. An observational and survival study was conducted on 144 subjects. Our findings indicated that HVPG greater than 10 mmHg, AFP surpassing 400 ng/mL, an advanced C-P class, and low TAC score are independent predictors of overall survival. During the multivariate analysis, AFP serum levels and C-P class proved statistically significant. The present study revealed significant differences in overall survival between the two groups divided upon HVPG values and settled by the cutoff of 10 mmHg (p = 0.02). Moreover, by dividing the cohort into three groups based on the TAC score (very low, low, and moderate), statistically significant differences in overall survival were observed across the groups (p = 0.004).

Survival paradox between stage IIB/C and stage IIIA colon cancer: is it time to revise the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM system?

A survival paradox between T4N0 (Stage IIB/IIC) and Stage IIIA colon cancer exists, even after adjusting for adequate lymph node (LN) retrieval and receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy (C). We conducted a large hospital-based study to re-evaluate this survival paradox based on the newest 8th edition staging system. The National Cancer Data Base was queried to evaluate 35,606 patients diagnosed with Stage IIB, IIC, and IIIA colon cancer between 2010 and 2017. The Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used to compare unadjusted overall survival (OS). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the association of stage with hazard ratios adjusted for relevant demographic and clinical variables including ≥ 12 LNs retrieved and receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy. P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. The 5-year OS for optimally treated stage IIIA colon cancer (receipt of C) was 84.3%, which was significantly higher than stage IIB/C (≥ 12 LNs retrieved + C) (72.8%; P < 0.0001). Stage was an independent predictor of OS. Among optimally treated Stage IIIA patients, T1N1 had the best survival (90.6%) while stage T4bN0 (stage IIC) had the worst (70.9%) (P < 0.0001). Compared to stage IIB, stage IIC had a 17% increased risk of overall death while stage IIIA had a 21% reduction in death (P < 0.0001). Stage IIB/C and Stage IIIA survival paradox persists even after accounting for receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy and adequate lymph node retrieval. Future iteration of the TNM system should take this paradox into consideration.

Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes refine outcomes in triple-negative breast cancer treated with anthracycline-free neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) are associated with pathologic complete response (pCR) and long-term outcomes for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in setting of anthracycline-based chemotherapy. Impact of sTILs on refining outcomes beyond prognostic information provided by pCR in anthracycline-free neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is not known. This is pooled analysis of two studies where patients with stage I(T>1cm)-III TNBC received carboplatin(AUC 6) plus docetaxel(75mg/m2) (CbD) NAC. sTILs were evaluated centrally on pre-treatment H&E slides using standard criteria. Cox regression analysis was used to examine effect on event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS). Among 474 patients, 44% had node-positive disease. Median sTILs were 5% (range 1%-95%), and 32% of patients had ≥30% sTILs. pCR rate was 51%. On multivariable analysis, T stage (OR=2.08,p=0.007), nodal status (OR=1.64,p=0.035), and sTILs (OR=1.10,p=0.011) were associated with pCR. On multivariate analysis, nodal status (HR=0.46,p=0.008), pCR(HR=0.20,p<0.001), and sTILs(HR=0.95,p=0.049) were associated with OS. At 30% cut-point, sTILs stratified outcomes in stage III disease, 5-year OS 86% vs 57% in ≥30% vs <30% sTILs (HR=0.29,p=0.014), and numeric trend in stage II, 5-year OS 93% vs 89% in ≥30% vs <30% sTILs (HR=0.55,p=0.179). Among stage II-III patients with pCR, EFS was better in those with ≥30% sTILs (HR=0.16,p=0.047). sTILs density was independent predictor of OS beyond clinicopathologic features and pathologic response in TNBC patients treated with anthracycline-free CbD chemotherapy. Notably, sTILs density stratified outcomes beyond TNM stage and pathologic response. These findings highlight role of sTILs in patient selection/stratification for neo/adjuvant escalation and de-escalation strategies.

[The Value of Baseline PET/CT Imaging of Bone Marrow 18F-FDG Uptake Pattern in Predicting Prognosis of DLBCL].

To investigate the prognostic value of bone marrow uptake pattern in 18F-deoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT imaging before diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treatment. The clinical data of 156 patients with DLBCL were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent bone marrow biopsy, bone marrow smear, flow cytometry and 18F-FDG PET/CT scan before treatment. Taking normal liver 18F-FDG uptake as the standard, the bone marrow uptake patterns of patients were divided into three types: focal increased bone marrow uptake (fPET+), diffusely increased bone marrow uptake (dPET+), and normal bone marrow uptake (nPET). Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test was used for comparison of differences between groups, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with prognosis. Among the 156 patients, 17 cases were fPET+, 28 cases were dPET+, and 111 cases were nPET. Clinical diagnosis of bone marrow infiltration (BMI) was positive in 21 cases and negative in 135 cases. There were 62 cases of recurrence and progression, and 18 cases of death. Univariate analysis showed that Ann Arbor stage III/IV, B symptoms, NCCN-IPI score, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), BMI+ and fPET+ were associated with progression-free survival (PFS) (all P < 0.05), while Ann Arbor stage III/IV, NCCN-IPI score, LDH, BMI+ and fPET+ were associated with overall survival (OS) (all P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that Ann Arbor stage III/IV, LDH and fPET+ were independent predictors of PFS (all P < 0.05). There were no independent predictors of OS in multivariate analysis. The bone marrow uptake pattern of 18F-FDG imaging in DLBCL patients before treatment has a predictive value for DLBCL, while fPET+ is an independent risk factor for PFS.

Prognostic implications of combining EGFR-TKIs and radiotherapy in Stage IV lung adenocarcinoma with 19-Del or 21-L858R mutations: A real-world study.

To elucidate the potential benefits of combining radiotherapy and epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) for individuals with Stage IV lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) harboring either exon 19 deletion (19-Del) or exon 21 L858R mutation (21-L858R). In this real-world retrospective study, 177 individuals with Stage IV LUAD who underwent EGFR-TKIs and radiotherapy at Shandong Cancer Hospital from June 2012 to August 2017 were included. The main focus of this real-world study was overall survival (OS). The clinical characteristics of patients with Stage IV LUAD harboring 19-Del were similar to those harboring 21-L858R (p > 0.05). Overall, the patients had a median OS (mOS) of 32.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 28.6-35.5). Subsequently, multivariate analysis indicated that both EGFR mutations and thoracic radiotherapy were independent predictors of OS (p = 0.001 and 0.013). Furthermore, subgroup analysis highlighted a longer OS for the 19-Del group compared to the 21-L858R group, especially when EGFR-TKIs were combined with bone metastasis or thoracic radiotherapy (mOS: 34.7 vs. 25.1 months and 51.0 vs. 29.6 months; p = 0.0056 and 0.0013, respectively). However, no significant differences were found in OS when considering patients who underwent brain metastasis radiotherapy (mOS: 34.7 vs. 25.1 months; p = 0.088). Patients with Stage IV LUAD harboring 19-Del experience a notably prolonged OS following combined therapy with EGFR-TKIs and radiotherapy, while this OS benefit is observed despite the absence of substantial differences in the clinical characteristics between the 19-Del and 21-L858R groups.